Restaurant Business Plan UK: Template, UK Figures and Worked Example

Write a restaurant business plan for UK lenders: a copyable outline, 2026/27 VAT, wage, NIC and rates figures, and a worked covers x spend forecast.

By the Facts checked 9 min read

A restaurant business plan explains the concept, the market, the menu and pricing, how you will operate and staff the site, and above all the numbers: how many covers you will serve, at what spend, and what is left after food, wages, rent and tax. Lenders, landlords and investors mostly check the sales forecast and whether your costs are realistic for the UK in 2026. This guide gives you a copyable outline, the current UK rates to build into it, and a worked covers-times-spend example.

What lenders and landlords look for

A lender wants to know you can repay the loan. A landlord wants to know you can pay rent for the term of the lease. Both read the same things:

  • A sales forecast built from capacity. Seats, turns and average spend, not a round number.
  • Realistic costs. Food, labour, rent, rates and overheads that match what similar sites run at, with the sources shown.
  • A break-even point. How many covers a week you need, and how far above that your forecast sits.
  • Cash to survive the opening months. Working capital, not just fit-out money.
  • Evidence you can run it. Your experience, your key hires and the legal steps already in hand (see how to open a restaurant in the UK).

Landlords may also ask for personal guarantees or a rent deposit, so say what you can offer.

A copyable business plan outline

Paste this into a document and replace each prompt with your own answers.

BUSINESS PLAN: [Restaurant name]

1. SUMMARY (ONE PAGE, WRITTEN LAST)
- The concept in two sentences
- The site, the opening date, the funding you need and what it pays for
- Year-one sales, profit and break-even covers per week

2. CONCEPT AND MENU
- Cuisine, service style (table service, counter, bar), opening hours
- Sample menu with price range and target gross profit per dish
- What makes it different from the five nearest competitors

3. MARKET AND LOCATION
- Who the guests are (local residents, office workers, tourists, groups)
- Footfall and parking, transport links, the competitors and their prices
- Why this unit and this rent

4. OPERATIONS
- Seats, floor layout, kitchen set-up, opening days and services
- Suppliers, stock control and waste approach
- Food safety, allergen and licensing plan (premises licence, DPS, registration)

5. PEOPLE
- Owners and their experience
- Staffing plan by role, hours, hourly rates, holiday and employer National Insurance
- Recruitment, training and rota approach

6. MARKETING
- Launch plan, booking channels, social, local partnerships
- Repeat-guest plan: email, loyalty, gift cards

7. SYSTEMS
- POS, booking, payments, stock, rota, accounting

8. FINANCIALS
- Start-up budget and funding sources
- Sales forecast (seats x turns x spend x trading days)
- Profit and loss for 12 months, cash flow by month for 12 months
- Break-even covers and a sensitivity table (sales down 10% and 15%)
- VAT, PAYE and business rates assumptions

9. RISKS AND MITIGATIONS
- Slow ramp-up, staff turnover, cost inflation, supplier failure, planning or licence delays

10. APPENDICES
- Lease heads of terms, quotes, CVs, menus, floor plan

The UK numbers to put in your plan

Use current official figures, and label the tax year. These are the main ones for 2026/27 in England:

AssumptionFigureSource
Standard VAT rate20%GOV.UK VAT rates
VAT registration threshold£90,000 taxable turnoverRegister for VAT
Restaurant meals and hot takeawayStandard-rated (20%); service charge standard-rated; freely given tips outside VATHMRC catering notice
National Living Wage (21 and over, from April 2026)£12.71 an hourMinimum wage rates
18 to 20 rate£10.85 an hoursame
Under 18 and apprentice rate£8.00 an hoursame
Employer National Insurance15% above £5,000 a year per employeeEmployer rates 2026/27
Employment AllowanceUp to £10,500 off employer NIC a year, if eligibleEmployment Allowance
Business rates multiplier, hospitality, RV under £51,00038.2p in the poundMHCLG multiplier letter
Business rates multiplier, hospitality, RV £51,000 to £499,99943.0p in the poundsame
Corporation Tax19% up to £50,000 profit, 25% over £250,000, marginal relief betweenCorporation Tax rates

Two quick illustrations. A team member working 30 hours a week at £12.71 earns £19,827.60 a year, so employer National Insurance is 15% of £14,827.60 (the amount above £5,000), or £2,224.14. A hospitality property with a £30,000 rateable value pays £11,460 a year in rates at 38.2p before any relief. Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland have their own business rates systems.

For cost benchmarks, treat published ranges as starting points, not promises. Lightspeed's UK guide puts food plus labour (prime cost) at 55 to 65% of turnover, with above 70% a warning sign, and Sage reports a UK average net margin of about 4.2%, with full-service restaurants at 3 to 5%. Both are publisher guides rather than audited industry data. Replace them with your own quotes and, once you trade, with your own actuals. Our restaurant profit margin guide and labour cost guide go deeper.

Forecast sales with covers x spend

The simplest defensible forecast works from capacity:

  1. Covers per day = seats x turns per day. A turn is how many times a seat is used in a service period, so 1.5 turns means 60 covers from 40 seats.
  2. Weekly covers = the sum across your trading days. Quiet weekdays and busy weekends should have different turns.
  3. Net spend per head = average spend including VAT divided by 1.2 (at the 20% rate). Always forecast sales excluding VAT, because the VAT is not yours.
  4. Weekly net sales = weekly covers x net spend per head.
  5. Annual net sales = weekly net sales x trading weeks (50 is a sensible allowance for closures and holidays).

If you serve both food and drink, use one blended spend per head or forecast them separately, because their cost percentages differ.

Worked example: a 40-seat restaurant

These are illustrative assumptions, not benchmarks for your site. Open seven days, 40 seats:

DaysTurns per dayCovers per dayDays per weekCovers per week
Monday to Thursday1.2484192
Friday and Saturday2.51002200
Sunday1.664164
Total456

Average spend is £38 per head including VAT, so net spend is £38 / 1.2 = £31.67. Weekly net sales are 456 x £31.67 = £14,440, and over 50 weeks that is £722,000 (22,800 covers). Weekly VAT collected is £2,888, which you hold for HMRC.

A simple profit and loss using illustrative cost assumptions:

LineAssumptionAnnual
Net sales£722,000
Food and drink cost31% of sales£223,820
Gross profit£498,180
Labour including employer NIC and holiday pay35% of sales£252,700
RentFixed£70,000
Business rates£30,000 rateable value x 38.2p£11,460
UtilitiesFixed£20,000
Other overheads (card fees, insurance, repairs, marketing, software, accounting)11% of sales£79,420
Profit before depreciation, interest and tax8.9% of sales£64,600
Depreciation of fit-out and interest on a loanAssumed£40,000
Profit before tax3.4% of sales£24,600

That 3.4% sits inside the 3 to 5% range commonly quoted for full-service restaurants, which is a useful reality check: if your plan shows 15%, you have probably understated a cost or overstated sales. As a labour sanity check, £252,700 is about £5,054 a week, which buys roughly 337 paid hours at an all-in £15 an hour.

Stress-test the plan: break-even and sensitivity

Split costs into variable and fixed. Assume food cost (31%) plus 4% of sales for card fees and consumables are variable, so each £1 of sales contributes 65p. Fixed costs are then £404,700 (labour, rent, rates, utilities and the rest of overheads).

ScenarioNet salesProfit before depreciation, interest and tax
Forecast£722,000£64,600
Covers 10% lower£649,800£17,670
Covers 15% lower£613,700-£5,795

Break-even before depreciation and interest is £404,700 / 0.65 = £622,615 of sales. Once you cover the £40,000 of depreciation and interest too, break-even rises to £684,154, about 432 covers a week against a forecast of 456. That is a margin of safety of only around 5%, and it is exactly the kind of finding a lender wants you to have already seen. In practice, you would flex rota hours when covers fall short, but build the plan on the pessimistic case first.

Cash flow and VAT timing

Profit and cash are different. Plan the monthly cash flow, including:

  • Ramp-up. New restaurants rarely hit forecast covers in month one. Model a slower first quarter.
  • VAT. You collect 20% on sales but, because most food ingredients are zero-rated (alcohol and some drinks are not), you will reclaim far less VAT on purchases than you charge. Set the difference aside; do not treat it as cash in the bank.
  • Wages and PAYE are paid monthly in arrears, and employer NIC is paid to HMRC with PAYE.
  • Rent is often due quarterly in advance, and business rates are billed by your council in instalments.
  • Supplier terms, which vary from payment on delivery to 30 days.

After opening: compare actuals to plan

Your plan is only useful if you keep checking it. Compare weekly covers, average spend, food cost and wage percentage against the forecast, and re-forecast monthly. TablePort's restaurant management platform gives you daily reports and analytics covering sales, orders and labour in one system, and our food cost calculator and menu price calculator help keep dishes on target.

This guide is general information, not financial, legal or tax advice; speak to an accountant before you submit a plan to a lender.

Frequently asked questions

What should a restaurant business plan include?

A summary, concept and menu, market and location, operations, people, marketing, systems, financials (start-up budget, sales forecast, profit and loss, cash flow, break-even) and risks. The outline above gives you a template.

How do I forecast restaurant sales?

Multiply seats by turns per day by net spend per head by trading days. Use different turns for weekdays and weekends, forecast sales excluding VAT, and test the result against comparable local sites.

What profit margin should I put in a restaurant business plan?

Published UK guides put net margins at roughly 3 to 6% for restaurants generally and 3 to 5% for full-service, and Sage reports a UK average of around 4.2%. Treat a plan showing much more as a red flag, and show lenders a sensitivity table.

How much VAT should I plan for?

Charge 20% on restaurant meals, hot takeaway food and service charges, and forecast net sales excluding VAT. VAT registration is compulsory once taxable turnover passes £90,000, and a restaurant at the forecast level in the worked example would pass it within the first couple of months.

Do I need a business plan to get a business loan?

Almost always. A lender will want the forecast, cash flow and break-even analysis, plus evidence you can run the venue and any security you can offer.

Where can I get a template?

The outline in this guide is yours to copy. The FSA's start-up guidance for new food businesses also stresses having a business plan and links to examples.

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